By tokenadult
I’d like to check this statement from the article: “‘Many geologists, we’re looking at the possibility of a ten-to-thirty-foot range [of sea-level rise] by the end of the century,’ he told me.” I have not seen any published figure that high.
I’ve actually been rather surprised at how LOW many predictions of sea-level rise are for the century ending in the year 2100. The United States Environmental Protection Agency writes,[1] “Since 1870, global sea level has risen by about 7.5 inches. Estimates of future sea level rise vary for different regions, but global sea level for the next century is expected to rise at a greater rate than during the past 50 years. Studies project global sea level to rise by another 1 to 4 feet by 2100, with an uncertainty range of 0.66 to 6.6 feet.” The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change document on sea level rise[2] projects a lot of uncertainty, but doesn’t seem to predict such major changes in sea level.
[1] http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/future.html#sealev…
[2] https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/cop19/3_gregory13sbsta.pdf
Read more here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10748767
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